08.06.2008

TRADING STRATEGY

"Game on news"

Before an exit of the important news, minutes for fifteen, do the rate "downwards/upwards". After the termination of the basic movement, usually in an hour-two if the rate has not reached a barrier sell the rate to system at the market price. Perfectly works, if news mismatches expectations, it is necessary also that news was Really important.

"Game on market cycles"

In the market there are cycles practically all periods, for each tool it is possible to pick up the, but it is possible to choose "natural" - daily allowances, week etc. So, we choose the moment when two, or more, a cycle with the different periods are in one phase, we do the rate when one of phases varies, the rate we sell. It is possible to play "one contact", "bulls bears", "there is contact", and also "spread" and "no feet contracts". For allocation of cycles, it is possible to use indicator "Chaos".



"Game on one indicator"

One indicator "Chaos", the period - is used 24 hours. We play on a trend. Trend definition: at the bull trend the indicator is displaced in a negative zone, at bear - in positive. The Input-exit on indicator signals.



"The multidimensional analysis"

The technical analysis usually assumes studying of the schedule of the prices of one tool, however consideration of other currency pairs it can appear very useful.
Correlation of many tools such as, for example GBP/USD and EUR/USD is obvious - in both pairs USD. Between pairs GBP/USD and EUR/JPY link is less appreciable but if to consider that USD/JPY * GBP/USD * EUR/GBP = EUR/JPY it is visible - at growth GBP/USD more possibly growth EUR/JPY. For currency pairs USD/JPY, GBP/USD, EUR/GBP, EUR/USD, EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY exists twenty four variants of joint changes of the prices. In each variant the price of one of tools changes more than the others, and this change usually twice exceeds an average. The analysis of six currency pairs helps to choose the tool with the maximum change of the price and as to "eliminate" false signals. In the table variants of joint changes of the prices are resulted. The maximum change is designated "+ +" or "- -", the sign "+ -" means growth with probability about 60 %, "- +" - falling with the same probability.



Example: the analysis shows, that on USD/JPY growth, GBP/USD - falling, EUR/GBP - falling, EUR/USD - falling, EUR/JPY - growth, GBP/JPY - growth is more probable, hence, it is better to buy in such situation USD/JPY.
The similar method can be used in other markets, having calculated correlations of changes of the prices of tools

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